Wisconsin adidas XC Invitational 2013Oct 17, 2013 by Mitch Kastoff
NAU unchallenged in Madison - Men's Wisconsin FloRating Projections
NAU unchallenged in Madison - Men's Wisconsin FloRating Projections
Back when we started using FloRatings to predict and/or project cross country races, we wondered if we'd have enough data to score out entire races. For fun, of course. Thankfully, the Wisconsin adidas Invitational start list is packed with quality teams that have already run quality races.
So rather than tell you about some of the probable top finishers at Wisconsin this Saturday (because you most likely already know the person's running resume anyway), we thought we would project the entire meet. What started as a top 10 evolved into a "Oh what the heck - 366."
The individual finishers for all 35 teams is listed below. We used this season's FloRating data, sorted out the teams, and listed them based on performance. The drawback is that some individual's best races came back in early September while others only started to race more recently. We also had to add in a few runners of note who have yet to run a big race this season (Northern Arizona's Matt McElroy, Portland's top five, Wisconsin's Rob Finnerty, the Texas men, and the Florida men). I would manually change some FloRatings to reflect where I think certain individuals will place (Michigan?!), but I didn't want to alter everything too much. Plus, I wanted to see what would actually happen just based on the numbers.
In any case, here's our Men's Virtual Wisconsin adidas Invitational meet.
Update: We added #17 Providence, Air Force, and Texas A&M.
So rather than tell you about some of the probable top finishers at Wisconsin this Saturday (because you most likely already know the person's running resume anyway), we thought we would project the entire meet. What started as a top 10 evolved into a "Oh what the heck - 366."
The individual finishers for all 35 teams is listed below. We used this season's FloRating data, sorted out the teams, and listed them based on performance. The drawback is that some individual's best races came back in early September while others only started to race more recently. We also had to add in a few runners of note who have yet to run a big race this season (Northern Arizona's Matt McElroy, Portland's top five, Wisconsin's Rob Finnerty, the Texas men, and the Florida men). I would manually change some FloRatings to reflect where I think certain individuals will place (Michigan?!), but I didn't want to alter everything too much. Plus, I wanted to see what would actually happen just based on the numbers.
In any case, here's our Men's Virtual Wisconsin adidas Invitational meet.
Update: We added #17 Providence, Air Force, and Texas A&M.
| Individual Projections | Team Scores |
Place Name School
1 Kemoy Campbell Arkansas
2 James Leakos Harvard University
3 Craig Lutz Texas
4 Stanley Kebenei Arkansas
5 Futsum Zienasellassie Northern Arizona
6 Brian Shrader Northern Arizona
7 LUKE CALDWELL NEW MEXICO
8 Soufiane Bouchikhi Eastern Kentucky
9 Matt McElroy Northern Arizona
10 Ryan Dohner Texas
11 JOHN SIMONS MINNESOTA
12 Solomon Haile Arkansas
13 Mason Ferlic Michigan
14 JEREMY RAE NOTRE DAME
15 Tylor Thatcher Brigham Young
16 William Kincaid PORTLAND
17 Scott Fauble PORTLAND
18 Mark Parrish Florida
19 JANNIS TOPFER ILLINOIS
20 Will Geoghegan Dartmouth College
21 MARTIN HEHIR Syracuse
22 Rob Finnerty Wisconsin
23 Andrew Colley North Carolina State
24 Aaron Nelson WASHINGTON
25 Caleb Hoover Northern Arizona
26 NICO COMPOSTO COLUMBIA
27 Charlie McDonald PORTLAND
28 JAKE SIENKO COLUMBIA
29 DANIEL EVERETT COLUMBIA
30 Jason Witt Brigham Young
31 JULIAN SAAD Providence
32 SHANE QUINN Providence
33 Andrew Springer Georgetown University
34 David Perry PORTLAND
35 Andy Trouard Northern Arizona
36 Caleb Rhynard Michigan State
37 MICHAEL VANVOORHIS Wisconsin
38 John-Logan Hines Florida
39 Garrett Seawell Arizona State
40 Gabe Gonzales Arkansas
41 JOHN GREGOREK COLUMBIA
42 Morsi Rayyan Michigan
43 MALACHY SCHROBILGEN Wisconsin
44 ALEX BRILL Wisconsin
45 Brandon Lord Georgia
46 Ryan Poland PORTLAND
47 Mark Beams Michigan
48 August Pappas Michigan
49 Aaron Fletcher Brigham Young
50 LIAM MARKHAM ILLINOIS
51 Ben Flanagan Michigan
52 REED KAMYSZEK Syracuse
53 Thomas Gruenewald Brigham Young
54 PAT ZACHARIAS NEW MEXICO
55 John Bleday Dartmouth College
56 Jake Hawkins Air Force
57 Isiah Bragg Air Force
58 Okwera, Peter Tennessee
59 John Raneri North Carolina
60 Cory Glines Michigan
61 Lucas Baker Georgia
62 ADAM BITCHELL NEW MEXICO
63 Kibet, Ernest Louisville
64 Alejandro Montano Northern Arizona
65 Jonathan Nelson Brigham Young
66 TIMOTHY CAREY MISSOURI
67 Nick Renberg Michigan
68 BRIAN DOYLE Providence
69 Ambrose Maritim Eastern Kentucky
70 Steve Flint Brigham Young
71 Sergey Sushchickh UCLA
72 MARTIN GRADY NOTRE DAME
73 Mark Pinales Texas
74 ADAM ZUTZ MINNESOTA
75 RYAN URIE Syracuse
76 Collins Kibet Arizona
77 Brian King Georgetown University
78 Jr Ricker Indiana University
79 Maksim Korolev Harvard University
80 ANDREW LARSEN MINNESOTA
81 Sam Macaluso Arizona
82 Connor Mora Michigan
83 MJ ERB Syracuse
84 Jimmy Clark Florida
85 STEVE SULKIN MINNESOTA
86 Josh Hardin Northern Arizona
87 Ryan Herson Arizona State
88 Pat Schellberg North Carolina
89 Joe Sansone North Carolina
90 Bernie Montoya Arizona State
91 Spencer Gardner Brigham Young
92 Ryan Walling North Carolina
93 GRIFF GRAVES Syracuse
94 DAN LENNON Syracuse
95 Raymond Joseph Arkansas
96 Kenji Bierig Arizona
97 BLAYNE DULIAN MINNESOTA
98 Trevor Ricks Weber State
99 George Parsons North Carolina State
100 Wade Meddles Eastern Kentucky
101 Isaac Presson North Carolina
102 Tyler Schneider Missouri
103 Eduardo Garcia Florida
104 Robby Nierman Indiana University
105 JACK BOYLE COLUMBIA
106 Steven Schnieders Arizona State
107 Garrett Baker-Slama Arizona State
108 Taylor Farnsworth Brigham Young
109 Rorey Hunter Indiana University
110 ROBERT MOLKE Syracuse
111 Riley Coates Air Force
112 James Yau Michigan
113 Daniel Herrera UCLA
114 Timothy Carey Missouri
115 GRAHAM THOMAS NEW MEXICO
116 Ben Carruthers Michigan State
117 Matt Valeriani North Carolina
118 Nick Hartle UCLA
119 David Madrigal Michigan State
120 Cody Reed Northern Arizona
121 Bobby Peavey Georgetown University
122 Carl Smith Indiana University
123 Chris Borg PORTLAND
124 DEREK STORKEL MINNESOTA
125 Ole Hesselbjerg Eastern Kentucky
126 Spencer, Isaac Texas A&M
127 Evan Chiplock Missouri
128 ALEX BREND MINNESOTA
129 Thijs Nijhuis Eastern Kentucky
130 Mohamed Hrezi Iowa State University
131 J.P. MALETTE NOTRE DAME
132 SAM DICKERSON MISSOURI
133 Henry Sterling Dartmouth College
134 Alex Wilson Michigan State
135 Byrne, Tyler Louisville
136 David Flynn Arkansas
137 Jacob Thomson North Carolina State
138 WALTER SCHAFER NOTRE DAME
139 Martin Coolidge Iowa State University
140 BEN GOLESTAN COLUMBIA
141 Patrick Corona Air Force
142 Carlos Miranda Florida
143 Cody Wells PORTLAND
144 Patrick Douglas UCLA
145 JORDAN COOK MISSOURI
146 Alex Dillard PORTLAND
147 BENJAMIN CONNOR Providence
148 JAKE ERSCHEN Wisconsin
149 Charles Sparks Georgia
150 JURIS SILENIEKS Syracuse
151 Silas Talbot Dartmouth College
152 Evan Esselink Indiana University
153 Nolan Fife Indiana University
154 Dylan Shawhan Brigham Young
155 Collin Leibold Georgetown University
156 Alex Dillenbeck Iowa State University
157 Danny Martinez PORTLAND
158 MAX STRANEVA Syracuse
159 Dustin Fay UCLA
160 Aaron Beattie WASHINGTON
161 PATRICK LESIEWICZ NOTRE DAME
162 ALEX HATZ Wisconsin
163 JOEL HUBBARD Syracuse
164 Austin Roth Texas
165 Kenny Cushing Missouri
166 Matthew Schwartzer Indiana University
167 HARVEY DIXON Providence
168 Patrick Rono Arkansas
169 KEVYN HOYOS Syracuse
170 LIAM HILLERY Providence
171 Curtis King Dartmouth College
172 John Murray Georgetown University
173 JAKE KILDOO NOTRE DAME
174 Tyler King WASHINGTON
175 George Kelly Michigan
176 Erwin Leysen Eastern Kentucky
177 Elliot Myers Air Force
178 Gavin Owens Air Force
179 Will Geiken Harvard University
180 Brian Llamas Iowa State University
181 DAN ROE MISSOURI
182 ANTONY TAYLOR UMass Amherst
183 ROSS MATHESON NEW MEXICO
184 MICHAEL CLEVENGER NOTRE DAME
185 Collin Smith Texas
186 Zach Perkins Air Force
187 Brady Turnbull Texas
188 Meron Simon WASHINGTON
189 Steve Magnuson North Carolina
190 Matthew Beer Arizona
191 Scott Morgan North Carolina
192 Andrew Gardner WASHINGTON
193 Nick Soter Michigan State
194 Sumner Goodwin WASHINGTON
195 Wolter, Mattias Louisville
196 Lukas Gemar Harvard University
197 Timo Goehler PORTLAND
198 Derlath, Stephen Tennessee
199 BRENDAN MCDONNELL ILLINOIS
200 Ryan Gil Georgetown University
201 Michael McCabe UCLA
202 Thomas Worob Weber State
203 Blake Nelson WASHINGTON
204 WILL BREWSTER ILLINOIS
205 Nicholas Posada Michigan
206 ANDREW BENNISON Syracuse
207 Tom Purnell Harvard University
208 Charlie Perkins Air Force
209 Daniel Wong Arizona State
210 Scotty Albaugh Michigan
211 Tyler Jermann Iowa State University
212 James Tracy Brigham Young
213 Drew White Missouri
214 Michael Mansy North Carolina State
215 TOMMY KING ILLINOIS
216 PAUL ZEMAN ILLINOIS
217 Eden, Stacey Louisville
218 Tyler Robinson Weber State
219 JACOB NAYLOR Wisconsin
220 Aidan Swain Arkansas
221 ALEX CORNWELL NEW MEXICO
222 Whitelaw, Austin Tennessee
223 Matt Schick North Carolina State
224 Jacob Smith WASHINGTON
225 JOE KUSH Syracuse
226 Sean Vandermosten Eastern Kentucky
227 Zack Sims Georgia
228 Hayden Legg Missouri
229 Griffin Hay PORTLAND
230 RILEY MACON MINNESOTA
231 Sam Roberson North Carolina State
232 TREVOR CRAWLEY Providence
233 CHRISTIAN COSTELLO Providence
234 Dan Caddigan Air Force
235 Austin Gregor Georgetown University
236 Arch Robertson Arkansas
237 Cale Wallace Arkansas
238 Kurt Ruegg Harvard University
239 Vibushan Sivakumaran North Carolina State
240 BENJAMIN THOMAS UMass Amherst
241 Josh Gorecki PORTLAND
242 Zack Torres UCLA
243 Dylan Hopper Arizona
244 DREW SHIELDS Wisconsin
245 CHRISTIAN SKARET MINNESOTA
246 Jeff Bickert Arizona State
247 Nick Harris WASHINGTON
248 PAUL ROSS COLUMBIA
249 BLAKE CROTEAU UMass Amherst
250 Ahmed Bile Georgetown University
251 Clark Ruiz Michigan State
252 Jonas Legernes Arizona
253 Ben Turner Eastern Kentucky
254 DJ THORNTON NOTRE DAME
255 Kipkoech, Japhet Louisville
256 Chris Allen Harvard University
257 Thomas Valente Arizona
258 Tobin, Daniel Tennessee
259 Jonah Diaz UCLA
260 ELMAR ENGHOLM NEW MEXICO
261 Brendan Hoban Georgia
262 John Harwell North Carolina State
263 Stephen Saylor Iowa State University
264 Creekmore, J.R. Tennessee
265 Ryan Norton Arizona State
266 Garret Zuk Michigan State
267 JONATHAN ESTRADA Providence
268 BILLY BRAGG Providence
269 Dylan O'Sullivan Dartmouth College
270 Walter, Kyle Tennessee
271 DANIEL SHELDON UMass Amherst
272 Ryan Konen Michigan State
273 Chandler Dye Missouri
274 Chase Zukerman UCLA
275 Trevor Grant Georgia
276 SAM TELFER ILLINOIS
277 BENJAMIN GROLEAU UMass Amherst
278 Jacob Wood UCLA
279 Steven Spevacek Georgia
280 Wells, Austin Texas A&M
281 JAKE FEINSTEIN Providence
282 Chris Collier Michigan State
283 MATT MCKENNA Wisconsin
284 Chris Spudic Missouri
285 Brandon Doolin Brigham Young
286 Steve Mangan Dartmouth College
287 QUENTIN STIPP UMass Amherst
288 Brad Hort Georgia
289 Adams Ronnoh Eastern Kentucky
290 Adrian Ross North Carolina State
291 Angelo Comeaux WASHINGTON
292 MORGAN MARLOW UMass Amherst
293 Villarreal, Cameron Texas A&M
294 Travis Thorne Arizona
295 Thomas - Jerem CoughleIndiana University
296 Nathaniel Cushing-MurrUCLA
297 Stephen Kersh PORTLAND
298 Alex Bowns PORTLAND
299 Stewart, Andrew Louisville
300 Stephen Mulherin North Carolina
301 Preston Johnson Weber State
302 Morgan Malanoski Georgia
303 SidVaughn Georgia
304 MILES HODGE UMass Amherst
305 JACOB LEBLANC UMass Amherst
306 Ian McGinn Missouri
307 RICHARD RACZ UMass Amherst
308 Craig Engels North Carolina State
309 KEVIN DURHAM NOTRE DAME
310 Noah Findlay Arkansas
311 DAVID WILSON Syracuse
312 STEPHEN ROBERTSON Providence
313 Stoeber, Colin Texas A&M
314 Nick Schulze Iowa State University
315 JAKE SHELLEY NEW MEXICO
316 Teel, Ryan Texas A&M
317 Matt Howard Georgetown University
318 Braden Timpe Arizona
319 Brian Masterson Dartmouth College
320 DUSTIN WILSON COLUMBIA
321 Austin O'Neil UCLA
322 Geerts, Austin Texas A&M
323 Sean O'Hollearn PORTLAND
324 Tyler Rusboldt Missouri
325 Jimenez, Xavier Texas A&M
326 SEAN STAM NEW MEXICO
327 Anderson, Scott Louisville
328 Roberts, Jake Texas A&M
329 Steve Dado Iowa State University
330 Reynolds, Jonathan Louisville
331 Samuel Willis Arizona
332 Joshua Roche Indiana University
333 Tom Rotondi Missouri
334 JOSEPH VERCOLLONE Providence
335 Eric Buday Michigan State
336 HUGH ARMSTRONG Providence
337 Connor Whan PORTLAND
338 BRENDAN SULLIVAN Providence
339 PAOLO TAVARES UMass Amherst
340 Billy Gaudreau Harvard University
341 Little, Jack Tennessee
342 Shannon Hall Missouri
343 Dettmer, Micah Texas A&M
344 JOHN BURNS UMass Amherst
345 Tim Gorman Dartmouth College
346 Kyle Burton Eastern Kentucky
347 Dickie, Jeremy Tennessee
348 Nick Rowe Georgetown University
349 Jacob Calvillo Weber State
350 OWEN WIGGINS UMass Amherst
351 Fred Ward Harvard University
352 Tim Johnson Missouri
353 Carl Ward Harvard University
354 Perronie, Dominic Louisville
355 Chaney, Jordan Tennessee
356 DANIEL NESTOR COLUMBIA
357 ERIC GIRONDA UMass Amherst
358 Cave, Thomas Louisville
359 MICHAEL GIARDINA UMass Amherst
360 JACOB HOLSCHER UMass Amherst
361 Riba, Alex Texas A&M
362 BRENDAN KNICKLE UMass Amherst
363 Grant Inskeep Missouri
364 SAMUEL BURKE UMass Amherst
365 Kaiser, Nick Tennessee
366 Dixon, Breon Tennessee
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Place School PTS
1 Northern Arizona 80
2 PORTLAND 140
3 Arkansas 152
4 Michigan 201
5 Brigham Young 212
6 COLUMBIA 229
7 Wisconsin 294
8 Syracuse 324
9 MINNESOTA 347
10 Florida 385
11 NEW MEXICO 421
12 Arizona State 429
13 North Carolina 429
14 Eastern Kentucky 431
15 Texas 435
16 Providence 445
17 NOTRE DAME 516
18 Dartmouth 530
19 MISSOURI 541
20 Air Force 542
21 Georgetown 558
22 Indiana 565
23 Michigan State 598
24 UCLA 605
25 Harvard 663
26 Arizona 686
27 ILLINOIS 687
28 NC State 696
29 WASHINGTON 738
30 Georgia 743
31 Iowa State 816
32 Louisville 865
33 Tennessee 1000
34 Weber State 1168
35 UMass Amherst 1219
36 Texas A&M 1328
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