Wisconsin adidas XC Invitational 2013Oct 17, 2013 by Mitch Kastoff
#1 Providence upset at Wisconsin - Women's Wisconsin FloRating Projections
#1 Providence upset at Wisconsin - Women's Wisconsin FloRating Projections
We thought that projecting the finishes for 366 runners in the men's race was inane, but we finally completed the women's race and realized that there could potentially be 369 finishers. Fancy that.
The projections below are based on every team's best (and sometimes only) race this season. Everything is objective, so we didn't make any changes to any of the results. Our creeping suspicion about Providence lacking a fifth finisher looks to be true as Arizona could potentially take them down this weekend.
It should be noted that Arizona may have run "harder" at Roy Griak than Providence did at the Battle of Beantown or Washington did at Bill Dellinger, but the scores so close in our projections that anything can happen. Here's the individual and team scores:
The projections below are based on every team's best (and sometimes only) race this season. Everything is objective, so we didn't make any changes to any of the results. Our creeping suspicion about Providence lacking a fifth finisher looks to be true as Arizona could potentially take them down this weekend.
It should be noted that Arizona may have run "harder" at Roy Griak than Providence did at the Battle of Beantown or Washington did at Bill Dellinger, but the scores so close in our projections that anything can happen. Here's the individual and team scores:
Individual Projections |
Team Scores |
Place Name School 1 Abbey D'Agostino Dartmouth College 2 EMILY SISSON Providence 3 JULIET BOTTORFF DUKE 4 Shelby Houlihan Arizona State 5 LAURA NAGEL Providence 6 Samantha Ginther Indiana University 7 LIV WESTPHAL Boston College 8 Waverly Neer Columbia University 9 SARAH COLLINS Providence 10 Elvin Kibet Arizona 11 Crystal Nelson Iowa State 12 SAMANTHA SILVA NEW MEXICO 13 Amy-Eloise Neale WASHINGTON 14 Rachel Sorna Cornell University 15 Nicci Corbin Arizona 16 Kelsey Duerksen Indiana University 17 Katie Flood WASHINGTON 18 Kayla Beattie Arizona 19 BRIDGET DAHLBERG SAN FRANCISCO 20 Laura Sara UConn 21 EVA KRCHOVA SAN FRANCISCO 22 Sarah Sumpter UC DAVIS 23 Maria Larsson Arizona 24 Rachele Schulist Michigan State 25 KELLY CURRAN NOTRE DAME 26 Grace Heymsfield Arkansas 27 CHARLOTTE ARTER NEW MEXICO 28 Dana Giordano Dartmouth College 29 CALLI THACKERY NEW MEXICO 30 CATARINA ROCHA Providence 31 ANNIE KEOWN Stony Brook 32 Kelsey Smith UCLA 33 OLIVIA BURNE Stony Brook 34 Joanna Thompson North Carolina State 35 Laura Docherty Minnesota 36 EMMA-LISA MURPHY Wisconsin 37 Dominique Scott Arkansas 38 Katie Knight WASHINGTON 39 Maddie Meyers WASHINGTON 40 Leah O'Connor Michigan State 41 MADELEINE DAVIDSON Boston College 42 KATE JAMBORETZ SAN FRANCISCO 43 CHRISTINA MELIAN Stony Brook 44 NATALIE SHIELDS BYU 45 ALEXA ARAGON NOTRE DAME 46 Katie Landwehr Michigan State 47 Liz Anderson Vanderbilt 48 Marielle Hall Texas 49 Katie Moraczewski Minnesota 50 Emily Shearer Cornell University 51 Perez Rotich Iowa State 52 Shelby Jackson Michigan State 53 Carly Hamilton Georgia 54 Annie Mooney UCLA 55 Shannon Klenke Arkansas 56 Lindsay Clark Michigan State 57 Leila Mantilla Columbia University 58 Stephanie Brown Arkansas 59 Eleanor Fulton WASHINGTON 60 Bethanie Brown Iowa State 61 HELEENE TAMBET NEW MEXICO 62 Sandie Raines Arkansas 63 Annie LeHardy North Carolina 64 ANIMA BANKS DUKE 65 Margo Malone Syracuse 66 Cory McGee Florida 67 Maggie Bollig Minnesota 68 SARAH DISANZA Wisconsin 69 Sarah Delozier Dartmouth College 70 Molly Kayfes Minnesota 71 ERIN CAWLEY Wisconsin 72 NICOLE NIELSEN BYU 73 ELENA BURKARD SAN FRANCISCO 74 MORGAN MUELLER Boston College 75 Elizabeth Simpson Cornell University 76 Montgomery, Hillary Texas A&M 77 Megan Siebert Texas 78 ANDREA OSTENSO NORTHWESTERN 79 KIRA GARRY Yale 80 NICOLE ROBERTS NEW MEXICO 81 TAMARA ARMOUSH NEW MEXICO 82 MAOR TIYOURI SAN FRANCISCO 83 Diane Robison Arkansas 84 ANDREA HARRISON BYU 85 Viviana Hanley Harvard 86 SOPHIE CURL SAN FRANCISCO 87 BRITTANY WINSLOW Boston College 88 GABI ANZALONE Wisconsin 89 Hanna Peterson Arizona 90 Katie Fry UC DAVIS 91 Paige Johnston Arkansas 92 LIANA EPSTEIN Yale 93 SARAH YINGLING BYU 94 LAVINIA JURKIEWICZ Wisconsin 95 Katy Moen Iowa State 96 Elizabeth Whelan North Carolina 97 MOLLY HANSON Wisconsin 98 Jochen, Karis Texas A&M 99 THERESA SELESTOW Wisconsin 100 Agata Strausa Florida 101 Jessica Kamilos Arkansas 102 EMILY FRYDRYCH NOTRE DAME 103 Anna Welsh UC DAVIS 104 Adriana Olivas Arizona State 105 Rachel Drake Minnesota 106 RACHEL MCNALLY Wisconsin 107 Danika Simonson Columbia University 108 LIBBY KOCHA NORTHWESTERN 109 Kaylee Flanagan WASHINGTON 110 Morgan Kelly Harvard 111 Rebecca Chandler Vanderbilt 112 GABBY GONZALES NOTRE DAME 113 Alison Lanois Dartmouth College 114 Liz Berkholtz Minnesota 115 ERIN MURPHY Providence 116 Stephanie Bulder Arizona 117 Blake, Sophie Texas A&M 118 Elle Sanders UCLA 119 JULIANNA MILLER DUKE 120 Megan Rodgers Michigan State 121 Kaitlyn Kramer North Carolina State 122 MAKENNA SMITH BYU 123 Lily Williams Vanderbilt 124 CATHERINE MALOY Boston College 125 Hannah Rowe Dartmouth College 126 Kelli Budd Minnesota 127 Sarah Bennett Dartmouth College 128 Brianna Johnson Indiana University 129 Bronte Golick UCLA 130 RACHEL STEWART BYU 131 Erin Menefee Arizona 132 LORRAINE MCCARTHY Stony Brook 133 Meghan Marvin UCLA 134 Hailey Ricks Weber State 135 Chelsea Carrick Columbia University 136 Fletcher, Grace Texas A&M 137 KELLY WHITLEY Wisconsin 138 Alexis Wiersma Michigan State 139 Bori Tozser Cornell University 140 JENNA PIANIN NORTHWESTERN 141 Molly Callahan Arizona 142 Shannon Harcus UC DAVIS 143 Baylee Mires WASHINGTON 144 Erica Ridderman Indiana University 145 Becca Dyson Minnesota 146 Kaila Urick Minnesota 147 Regan Ward Arkansas 148 ALANNA PORETTA Boston College 149 Taylor Spillane Cornell University 150 Cheruiyot, Benadate Louisville 151 Hannah Kirkegaard UC DAVIS 152 Ejiro Okoro Iowa State 153 Erin Johnson WASHINGTON 154 HANNAH ALPERT Yale 155 Alexa Rumsey Michigan State 156 Jessie Petersen Syracuse 157 ELIZABETH PREDMORE Boston College 158 AMANDA RICKERT Boston College 159 Brenna Symoniak Syracuse 160 Chepchumba, Agnes Louisville 161 Brianna Nerud Syracuse 162 Annabel Clark UCLA 163 SYDNI MEUNIER NOTRE DAME 164 Madeleine Ankhelyi Harvard 165 LINDSEY NIELSON BYU 166 Samantha Siler Columbia University 167 Marianne Collard Cornell University 168 Amanda Behnke Indiana University 169 Claire Benjamin Vanderbilt 170 CHANDLER OLSON Yale 171 DANIELLE WINSLOW Boston College 172 Carmen Carlos Vanderbilt 173 Kristen Niedrach Cornell University 174 CAMILLE BLACKMAN NORTHWESTERN 175 Bethany Neeley Indiana University 176 Joseph, Amira Vanderbilt 177 COLLEEN MCNULTY Wisconsin 178 KIRSTEN FOLLETT NEW MEXICO 179 Kate Jamboretz SAN FRANCISCO 180 Gennocro, Adair Louisville 181 Molodynia, Michelle Louisville 182 Maggie Gannon Iowa State 183 Maura Linde Syracuse 184 Julie Macedo Florida 185 JULIA BUFORD NORTHWESTERN 186 Summer Harper Weber State 187 Samantha Norman North Carolina State 188 Melanie Brender Michigan State 189 Claire DeVoe Cornell University 190 Connor Ward Texas 191 Megan Moye North Carolina State 192 MAREN FASSMANN BYU 193 Chanli Mundy Indiana University 194 Kait Mincke Minnesota 195 Bridget End Dartmouth College 196 Paige Tennison UCLA 197 Erika Kemp North Carolina State 198 Meredith Speakman Syracuse 199 Bushey, Emily Louisville 200 Shelby Hayes Florida 201 Brittany Marches Texas 202 BRYANNA ALLISON Providence 203 Erika Barr UC DAVIS 204 Nicole DiMercurio Georgia 205 Sierra Vega UCLA 206 Andrea Toppin Iowa State 207 Meghan Shea Texas 208 Alaina Perez Texas 209 JENNICA REDD BYU 210 Emily Pritt North Carolina State 211 Vanessa Valentine Vanderbilt 212 Jen Guidera Harvard 213 Angela Swain Michigan State 214 Alexandra ClinSyracuse 215 Caroline Williams Columbia University 216 Christine Hoffmann UC DAVIS 217 Hilary Teaford UC DAVIS 218 Megan Morgan WASHINGTON 219 Kala Stone Arizona State 220 Alexa Harvey North Carolina State 221 Delaney, Katherine Vanderbilt 222 ANNA DEMAREE Yale 223 Kailey Ulland SAN FRANCISCO 224 Bethany Olson Iowa State 225 Grace Orders Vanderbilt 226 ASHLEY BERRY DUKE 227 Kate Bucknam Minnesota 228 Jamie Stokes Weber State 229 Jenna Maack Arizona State 230 Savannah Kirk Georgia 231 Selena Pasadyn Harvard 232 SOPHIA ZIEMIAN DUKE 233 GABRIELLE THIVIERGE NOTRE DAME 234 Haley Johnson Minnesota 235 ANN POWERS NORTHWESTERN 236 Clea Formaz Arizona 237 MOLLY KEATING Providence 238 LILY ENGLEBREKT SAN FRANCISCO 239 AMBER ZIMMERMAN NEW MEXICO 240 Caleigh Bachop North Carolina 241 LAUREN MULLINS Providence 242 ELIZABETH CALDWELL Stony Brook 243 Katie Flesicher Syracuse 244 Emily Durgin UConn 245 Taylor Tubbs Florida 246 ELENA BARHAM NORTHWESTERN 247 ELENA MILLER NORTHWESTERN 248 Chelsey Totten Arizona State 249 Jenkins, Amanda Texas A&M 250 Ashlee Powers UCLA 251 Ava Kent UCLA 252 Cramsey, Kelsey Louisville 253 Shaina Corbin Arizona State 254 HALEY MEIER DUKE 255 Corey Dowe Cornell University 256 DARYL PHIL SAN FRANCISCO 257 Caroline Marshall Harvard 258 Bret McDaniel Georgia 259 Keri Wood Arkansas 260 ABBY FARLEY DUKE 261 Anna Buenneke Iowa State 262 Brigitte Mania UConn 263 MELISSA CHAPMAN Yale 264 Hannah Jumper Vanderbilt 265 Molly Winters Indiana University 266 Jamie Vandenberg Minnesota 267 Olivia Sadler Columbia University 268 Erika Veidis Harvard 269 KATHLEEN POWELL Providence 270 Anderson, Reagan Vanderbilt 271 ELIZABETH O'BRIEN Boston College 272 DANNA LEVIN Boston College 273 Macy Bricks Arizona State 274 MEGAN O'BRIEN NORTHWESTERN 275 Rianna Goins UC DAVIS 276 ANNE GREGORY Wisconsin 277 MADISON GRANGER DUKE 278 Erika Ramsey Georgia 279 DANIELLE ARAGON NOTRE DAME 280 MARGARET MULLINS Boston College 281 Ashley Moffett SAN FRANCISCO 282 ALICE WRIGHT NEW MEXICO 283 KenyettaIyevbele North Carolina State 284 Devin McMahon Cornell University 285 Willard, Katie Texas A&M 286 ELIZABETH MCDONALD Yale 287 Doria Kosmala North Carolina 288 Aryn Foland Columbia University 289 Sydney Segal Columbia University 290 Nicole Evans UCLA 291 Sara Barron Vanderbilt 292 Taylor Mikkalson Minnesota 293 Molly Renfer Harvard 294 KATE POUDER Stony Brook 295 Sydney Leiher Syracuse 296 Samantha Mohler Arkansas 297 MEGAN RITCHIE Boston College 298 JACKIE MCCARTHY Providence 299 Megan Malasarte Georgia 300 Arianna Vailas Dartmouth College 301 ALLISON STURGES DUKE 302 LIGA BLYHOLDER Wisconsin 303 Katie Hill Minnesota 304 Abby Mace UConn 305 Katie Penney Arizona 306 Miranda Kewley Arizona State 307 Andie Zeman Minnesota 308 MEAGAN ROECKER Boston College 309 Georgia Tuttle Columbia University 310 Helen SchlachtenhaufDartmouth College 311 ROBIN LYNN Stony Brook 312 Sydney Lesko Iowa State 313 Taylor McDowell Iowa State 314 Salazar, Gabby Texas A&M 315 Halsey Merritt North Carolina State 316 Yohe, Megan Vanderbilt 317 Brooke Koblitz Georgia 318 RAVEN DORSEY Stony Brook 319 Jen Owen UCLA 320 Galloway, Johanna Texas A&M 321 MOLLY PERSKY Stony Brook 322 Cassy Opitz Minnesota 323 Kelsey Braithwaite Weber State 324 Schoettmer, Tori Louisville 325 CLAIRE SMITH Boston College 326 Anne Ferguson Minnesota 327 Jillian Johnson Minnesota 328 Marion Kalafut Georgia 329 MCKINZIE SCHULZ NOTRE DAME 330 Hannah Trasser Minnesota 331 Stacey Swatek Minnesota 332 Lily Engelbrekt SAN FRANCISCO 333 Ellie Child Weber State 334 Grace Morken North Carolina 335 Lauren Wilch SAN FRANCISCO 336 Melissa Cabak Minnesota 337 Morgan Ainslie Georgia 338 Aundrea Holmes North Carolina 339 Jenn Cora Georgia 340 Elizabeth Schultz SAN FRANCISCO 341 Lauren Domski Minnesota 342 Sterling, Heather Texas A&M 343 Amanda Ward Weber State 344 Chelsea Pettit Minnesota 345 Laura Williamson UConn 346 Kylie McCoy North Carolina 347 Erin McConnell Dartmouth College 348 Sophia Volk SAN FRANCISCO 349 Klein, Megan Louisville 350 Slavoski, Kara Vanderbilt 351 Stephanie Solfelt Minnesota 352 ELIZABETH DEVIVO Providence 353 KATELYN SISCHO Providence 354 Payton Schutte Arizona 355 Kelsey Kluesner Indiana University 356 Ryanna Henderson North Carolina State 357 Gleitz, Meredith Texas A&M 358 Beth Wright Syracuse 359 Noser, Claire Louisville 360 RACHEL JONES Yale 361 Dummer, Mackenzie Louisville 362 Courtney KriegshauseVanderbilt 363 Sarah Gillespie Harvard 364 Kiyohara, Leah Louisville 365 Caroline O'Hea North Carolina 366 Megan Bailey Minnesota 367 MOLLY MCCANN Providence 368 Alice Keller Weber State 369 Dooley, Paige Louisville |
Place School PTS 1 Arizona 155 2 Providence 161 3 WASHINGTON 166 4 NEW MEXICO 209 5 Michigan State 218 6 SAN FRANCISCO 237 7 Arkansas 238 8 Minnesota 326 9 Boston College 333 10 Dartmouth College 336 11 Wisconsin 357 12 Iowa State 369 13 BYU 415 14 Cornell University 427 15 NOTRE DAME 447 16 Indiana University 462 17 UCLA 466 18 Columbia University 473 19 Stony Brook 481 20 UC DAVIS 508 21 Vanderbilt 622 22 DUKE 644 23 Texas A&M 676 24 NORTHWESTERN 685 25 Yale 717 26 Texas 723 27 Syracuse 724 28 North Carolina State 730 29 Florida 795 30 Harvard 802 31 Arizona State 804 32 Louisville 870 33 North Carolina 1020 34 Georgia 1023 35 UConn 1175 36 Weber State 1204 |