Final NCAA Men's Team Projections
Final NCAA Men's Team Projections
**AFTER DAY THREE**
01) 84.0 Oregon
02) 73.0 Florida
03) 43.5 Texas A&M
04) 32.0 LSU
05) 27.5 USC
06) 25.5 Arizona
06) 25.5 Texas
08) 25.0 Wisconsin
09) 24.0 Georgia
10) 23.0 Arkansas
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You want to know who will win the men’s NCAA team title?
We’ll tell you right now.
The Process:
- Ranked the top 8 athlete’s PBs from Indoor 2011 to Present.
- Converted all altitude marks
- Converted indoor flat track marks
- Ignored wind-aided marks
- Included marks done unattached, out of season, or for another school/high school/club
- For relays took indoor/outdoor 2014 marks only.
- The 10K Outlier: Some athletes in the 10K have never ran the race all out, thus we adjusted some of the placings (ie. Oregon's Cheserek and Dunbar)
Before You Cry Wolf:
This is not an exact science: we know everyone doesn’t PR at NCAAs, we know some PRs are outliers, we know some people are fresh, and some are battling injuries. All this does is give perspective of the team’s potential AND makes sure we recognize athletes who don’t peak until June.
Men’s Top 10 Projected Team Scores:
01) 82.0 Oregon
02) 74.5 Florida
03) 59.5 Texas A&M
04) 40.0 Arkansas
05) 30.5 Texas
06) 30.0 Arizona
07) 29.0 LSU
08) 26.5 USC
09) 24.0 Wisconsin
10) 20.5 Oklahoma State
100m 1 Locke, Dentarius SR Florida State 9.96 10.0 100m 2 Bromell, Trayvon FR Baylor 10.01 8.00 100m 3 Brown, Aaron SR USC 10.05 6.00 100m 4 Lee, Beejay JR USC 10.07 5.00 100m 5 Hardy Jr., Prezel SR Texas A&M 10.11 4.00 100m 6 Givans, Senoj-Jay FR Texas 10.13 2.50 100m 6 Vaughn, Clayton SR Texas-Arlington 10.13 2.50 100m 8 Teeters, John SO Oklahoma State 10.14 0.50 100m 8 Wesh, Darrell SR Virginia Tech 10.14 0.50 200m 1 Dukes, Dedric JR Florida 19.97 10.0 200m 2 Ernest, Aaron JR LSU 20.14 8.00 200m 3 Hardy Jr., Prezel SR Texas A&M 20.16 5.50 200m 3 Brown, Aaron SR USC 20.16 5.50 200m 5 Nkanata, Carvin JR Pittsburgh 20.17 4.00 200m 6 Hart, Shavez JR Texas A&M 20.35 3.00 200m 7 Rodney, Brendon JR LIU Brooklyn 20.41 2.00 200m 8 Walker, Justin SR Northwestern St. 20.47 1.00 400m 1 Lendore, Deon JR Texas A&M 44.36 10.0 400m 2 Berry, Mike SR Oregon 44.75 8.00 400m 3 Hall, Arman SO Florida 44.82 6.00 400m 4 Spratling, Brycen JR Pittsburgh 45.09 5.00 400m 5 Norwood, Vernon JR LSU 45.17 4.00 400m 6 Taplin, Bralon JR Texas A&M 45.18 3.00 400m 7 Graham Jr, Hugh JR Florida 45.19 1.50 400m 7 Bailey Jr. Aldrich SO Texas A&M 45.19 1.50 800m 1 McBride, Brandon SO Mississippi State 1:45.35 10.0 800m 2 Rutto, Eliud SO Middle Tenn. State 1:45.37 8.00 800m 3 Kemboi, Edward JR Iowa State 1:45.98 6.00 800m 4 Rono, Patrick JR Arkansas 1:46.49 5.00 800m 5 Obinwa, Sean SR Florida 1:46.68 4.00 800m 6 Squella, Tomas SO Arkansas 1:46.76 3.00 800m 7 Schnulle, Ryan SO Florida 1:47.15 2.00 800m 8 Guyota, Boru SR Oregon 1:47.42 1.00 1500m 1 Lalang, Lawi SR Arizona 3:33.20 10.0 1500m 2 Williamsz, Jordan SO Villanova 3:36.74 8.00 1500m 3 Peters, Rich JR Boston U. 3:37.67 6.00 1500m 4 Fleet, Mac JR Oregon 3:38.35 5.00 1500m 5 Kidder, Brannon SO Penn State 3:38.82 4.00 1500m 6 Atchoo, Michael SR Stanford 3:39.57 3.00 1500m 7 Hillenbrand, Matt SR Kentucky 3:39.65 2.00 1500m 8 Callahan, Peter JR New Mexico 3:40.40 1.00 5000m 1 Lalang, Lawi SR Arizona 13:00.95 10.0 5000m 2 Jenkins, Eric JR Oregon 13:18.57 8.00 5000m 3 Cheserek, Edward FR Oregon 13:24.80 6.00 5000m 4 Kithuka, Kennedy SR Texas Tech 13:25.38 5.00 5000m 5 Erassa, Kirubel JR Oklahoma State 13:27.55 4.00 5000m 6 Ahmed, Mohammed SR Wisconsin 13:28.02 3.00 5000m 7 Stinson, Parker SR Oregon 13:31.70 2.00 5000m 8 Dunbar, Trevor JR Oregon 13:32.38 1.00 10000m 1 Cheserek, Edward FR Oregon 28:51.97 10.0 10000m 2 Ahmed, Mohammed SR Wisconsin 27:34.64 8.00 10000m 3 Kipchirchir, Shadrack SR Oklahoma State 27:36.79 6.00 10000m 4 Kithuka, Kennedy SR Texas Tech 27:41.73 5.00 10000m 5 Stinson, Parker SR Oregon 28:34.71 4.00 10000m 6 Witt, Jason JR BYU 28:36.64 3.00 10000m 7 Dunbar, Trevor JR Oregon 28:52.39 2.00 10000m 8 Bosshard, Joe SR Colorado 28:41.56 1.00 4x100 1 -- -- Florida 38.29 10.0 4x100 2 -- -- Texas A&M 38.30 8.00 4x100 3 -- -- LSU 38.68 6.00 4x100 4 -- -- Alabama 38.91 5.00 4x100 5 -- -- South Carolina 38.98 4.00 4x100 6 -- -- Arizona State 39.08 3.00 4x100 7 -- -- Baylor 39.09 2.00 4x100 8 -- -- Florida State 39.20 1.00 4x400 1 -- -- Florida 2:59.73 10.0 4x400 2 -- -- Texas A&M 3:01.19 8.00 4x400 3 -- -- LSU 3:02.64 6.00 4x400 4 -- -- Western Kentucky 3:03.02 5.00 4x400 5 -- -- Pittsburgh 3:03.44 4.00 4x400 6 -- -- Arkansas 3:03.89 3.00 4x400 7 -- -- Oregon 3:04.10 2.00 4x400 8 -- -- Ohio State 3:04.15 1.00 110H 1 Harris, Aleec JR USC 13.18 10.0 110H 2 Davis II, Wayne SR Texas A&M 13.20 8.00 110H 3 Allen, Devon FR Oregon 13.27 6.00 110H 4 Lovett, Eddie SR Florida 13.39 5.00 110H 5 McLeod, Omar FR Arkansas 13.44 4.00 110H 6 Cabral, Johnathan JR Oregon 13.45 3.00 110H 7 Swift, Greggmar SR Indiana State 13.48 2.00 110H 8 Brown, Trevor SR Colorado State 13.55 1.00 400H 1 Stigler, Michael JR Kansas 49.19 10.0 400H 2 Ukaoma, Miles SR Nebraska 49.23 8.00 400H 3 Hayes, Keyunta JR UTSA 49.38 6.00 400H 4 Coleman, Gregory JR Texas A&M 49.60 5.00 400H 5 Brown, Trevor SR Colorado State 49.85 4.00 400H 6 Holmes, Timothy FR Baylor 49.90 3.00 400H 7 Viney, Cam SO Illinois 50.09 2.00 400H 8 Alowonle, Rilwan SO North Carolina 50.11 1.00 3KSt 1 Rotich, Anthony JR UTEP 8:21.19 10.0 3KSt 2 Kebenei, Stanley JR Arkansas 8:24.45 8.00 3KSt 3 Pepiot, Tanguy JR Oregon 8:33.42 6.00 3KSt 4 Brill, Alexander SR Wisconsin 8:37.62 5.00 3KSt 5 Ferlic, Mason SO Michigan 8:38.74 4.00 3KSt 6 Hesselbjerg, Ole JR Eastern Kentucky 8:41.17 3.00 3KSt 7 King, Kyle SO Virgina 8:41.53 2.00 3KSt 8 Prizzi, John JR New Hampshire 8:42.20 1.00 HJ 1 Ross, Nick SR Arizona 2.31m 10.0 HJ 2 Reynolds, Maalik SR Penn 2.28m 8.00 HJ 3 Blair, Montez SR Cornell 2.27m 5.50 HJ 3 Duffield, Jacorian JR Texas Tech 2.27m 5.50 HJ 5 McBride, Bryan JR Arizona State 2.26m 3.00 HJ 5 Ware, Torian JR Clemson 2.26m 3.00 HJ 5 Riley, Zack JR Kansas State 2.26m 3.00 HJ 8 Smith, DJ SR Auburn 2.24m 1.00 PV 1 Kendricks, Sam JR Mississippi 5.81m 10.0 PV 2 Barber, Shawn SO Akron 5.75m 8.00 PV 3 Irwin, Andrew JR Arkansas 5.72m 6.00 PV 4 Ross, Colton JR Stephen F. Austin 5.70m 5.00 PV 5 Blankenship, Jake SO Tennessee 5.64m 4.00 PV 6 Thoirs, Jax SO Washington 5.60m 3.00 PV 7 Geraghty, Peter SR Eastern Illinois 5.56m 1.50 PV 7 Wolfle, Chase SO Texas A&M 5.56m 1.50 LJ 1 Dendy, Marquis JR Florida 8.28m 10.0 LJ 2 Crawford, Corey JR Rutgers 8.22m 8.00 LJ 3 Higgs, Raymond SR Arkansas 8.15m 6.00 LJ 4 Gotch, Jarvis JR Louisiana Tech 8.09m 5.00 LJ 5 Ward, Laderrick JR SIU-Edwardsville 8.00m 4.00 LJ 6 Hooper, Ted SR UC Riverside 7.88m 3.00 LJ 7 Pienaar, Roelf FR Arkansas State 7.87m 1.00 LJ 7 Madzivire, Paul JR Florida State 7.87m 1.00 LJ 7 Raedler, Patrick SR Nebraska 7.87m 1.00 TJ 1 Dendy, Marquis JR Florida 16.52m 10.0 TJ 2 Young, Phillip JR Mississippi 16.30m 7.00 TJ 2 Field, Devin SO Kansas State 16.30m 7.00 TJ 4 Gardner, Jonathan SR Georgia Tech 16.15m 4.50 TJ 4 Oneal, Matthew SO South Florida 16.15m 4.50 TJ 6 Golden, Cordairo SR Middle Tenn. State 16.12m 3.00 TJ 7 McLean, Damon SR Princeton 16.11m 2.00 TJ 8 May, Anthony SR Arkansas 16.07m 1.00 SP 1 Crouser, Ryan JR Texas 21.39m 10.0 SP 2 Mozia, Stephen JR Cornell 20.79m 8.00 SP 3 Zunic, Stipe JR Florida 20.60m 6.00 SP 4 Hill, Darrell JR Penn State 20.57m 5.00 SP 5 Vena, Nick JR Georgia 20.39m 4.00 SP 6 Saenz, Stephen JR Auburn 20.35m 3.00 SP 7 Jensen, Curtis SR Illinois State 20.33m 2.00 SP 8 Jones, Jonathan JR Buffalo 20.22m 1.00 DT 1 Wruck, Julian SR UCLA 68.16m 10.0 DT 2 Evans, Andrew SR Kentucky 66.37m 8.00 DT 3 Bailey, Travis JR Tennessee 64.51m 6.00 DT 4 Brown, Rodney JR LSU 64.26m 5.00 DT 5 Finley, Mason SR Wyoming 64.17m 4.00 DT 6 Wright, Chad SR Nebraska 63.96m 3.00 DT 7 Crouser, Ryan JR Texas 63.90m 2.00 DT 8 Reed, Hayden FR Alabama 63.74m 1.00 HT 1 Miller, Nick JR Oklahoma State 74.38m 10.0 HT 2 Tayala, Matthias SO Kent State 72.11m 8.00 HT 3 Hakansson, Elias SO Alabama 71.38m 6.00 HT 4 Lihrman, Michael JR Wisconsin 71.10m 5.00 HT 5 Kruzliak, Tomas SO Virginia Tech 70.84m 4.00 HT 6 Skipper, Greg SO Oregon 70.57m 3.00 HT 7 Poursanidis, Alex FR Georgia 69.28m 2.00 HT 8 Enekwechi, Chukwuebuka SO Purdue 68.53m 1.00 JT 1 Crouser, Sam JR Oregon 80.80m 10.0 JT 2 Dykstra, Raymond JR Kentucky 76.25m 8.00 JT 3 Dohmann, Fabian FR Texas 74.25m 6.00 JT 4 Guerra, Tomas SO Western Kentucky 73.37m 5.00 JT 5 Carper, Chris SR Robert Morris 73.09m 4.00 JT 6 Carter, Justin FR Auburn 73.04m 3.00 JT 7 Bogert, Devin JR Texas A&M 73.01m 2.00 JT 8 Lipschutz, McLean SO Monmouth 72.55m 1.00 DEC 1 Hock, Johannes SO Texas 8293 10.0 DEC 2 Uibo, Maicel SO Georgia 8223 8.00 DEC 3 Scantling, Garrett JR Georgia 8169 6.00 DEC 4 Keys, Dakotah JR Oregon 8027 5.00 DEC 5 Lazas, Kevin SR Arkansas 7955 4.00 DEC 6 Ziemek, Zach JR Wisconsin 7860 3.00 DEC 7 Dick, Devin SR Kansas State 7792 2.00 DEC 8 McCune, Alex JR Akron 7768 1.00
Editor’s Note: If you see a mark we missed, let us know!